The black swan - the impact of the highly improbable
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
- Författare
- Nassim Nicholas Taleb
- (Nassim Nicholas Taleb., "Originally published in trade paperback by Random House, in 2010. The first edition of this work was published in hardcover by Random House, in 2007"--Title page verso., I publikationen felaktigt: ISBN 9781400063512 (tillhörande tidigare upplaga), Includes bibliographical references (pages 401-429) and index.)
- Genre
- Bibliografi, Ej skönlitteratur
- Språk
- Engelska
| Förlag | År | Ort | Om boken | ISBN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Random House | 2010 | New York, New York | xxxiii, 444 pages illustrations 24 cm | |
| Random House Trade Paperbacks | 2010 | USA, New York | xxxiii, 444 sidor. ill. 21 cm. | 978-0-8129-7381-5 |
| Penguin | 2008 | Storbritannien, London | 366 sidor. ill. | 978-0-14-103459-1 |
| Random House | cop. 2007 | USA, New York | xxviii, 366 sidor. ill. 25 cm | 978-1-4000-6351-2, 978-0-8129-7918-3 |